The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center reports that El Niño is weakening, but likely to stick around a couple more months. At the same time, NOAA issued a formal watch for a late summer, early fall arrival of La Niña.
El Niño is the natural warming of parts of the tropical Pacific that alters weather worldwide. La Niña, with cooler Pacific waters, often has opposite effects.
NOAA says La Niña often means dry weather for parts of California.
Despite a near-average snowpack in the northern Sierra this winter, El Niño conditions did not bring the heavy precipitation forecast for southern California.
The state's largest reservoirs, Shasta and Oroville, are above their historical averages to date.
But further south, where rain and snow was less plentiful, reservoirs haven't fared as well.
During the historic drought, Californians have been ordered to use at least 20 percent less water compared to use in 2013.
The U.S. Drought Monitor recently said that drought persists into a fifth year in the state.
"Long-term severe to extreme drought is still entrenched across much of central and southern California, as reflected by less frequent storms during the 2015-16 wet season; still-low reservoir levels; less robust mountain snowpack; and continuing groundwater shortages," according to March 24 report.